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India’s mild car market shrinks 22-25% in 2020; drops out of high 5 markets

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Mumbai: India’s mild car market is estimated to report a 22-25% decline in 2020 gross sales, the steepest among the many high 10 world markets the place it has been an outperformer for years, in response to two high world car forecasting companies. This meant that India, which has been vying for the highest three positions globally in mild automobiles – vehicles, utility automobiles, small business automobiles and pick-up vans has slipped out of the highest 5.

India is about to lose the No.5 spot to South Korea this 12 months, in response to IHS Markit. The car market stays much less impacted in Korea than India because of the Covid-19 pandemic. Local output of sunshine automobiles is estimated at 3.2 million models in 2020, pulling again the amount to virtually a decade again. According to JATO Dynamics, the Indian mild car market is about to say no by 22%. In 2020, world mild car gross sales are estimated to drop 14.9 million models from 2019 to 76.5 million models, in response to IHS Markit. India misplaced virtually three months of manufacturing, or about 900,000 models compared to 2019, stated Gaurav Vangaal, IHS Markit’s affiliate director, car forecasting.

Vangaal expects India to regain the fifth spot in 2021 from Korea. “From April to May, India’s stringent lockdown impacted Indian production compared with countries like South Korea, even though the substantial festive pent-up demand helped regain one month’s production,” he added. India confronted one of many strictest lockdowns on the earth, which was fairly evident from the decline in electrical energy technology and GDP contraction within the June 2020 quarter. Sales of carmakers fell 42% within the first half of 2020. Although a restoration began in August, that’s not sufficient to offset the amount misplaced earlier within the 12 months.

Ravi Bhatia, president of JATO Dynamics, informed ET Covid-19 was a double whammy for the market because it impacted each demand and disrupted the availability chain. This not solely impacted India however the world markets as effectively. “The difference in sales decline levels between countries is due to varying severity and lockdown cadence of various countries. Already slowing economic growth, availability of credit and transition from BS4 to BS6 pulled Indian market into a negative zone; this has compelled companies to redraw their strategies around capacity planning,” added Bhatia.

With consecutive years of decline, it’s turning into tough for car makers to hunt new avenues of progress and that is forcing them to attract up plans for alliances and consolidation, Bhatia believed. Both IHS Markit and Jato Dynamic anticipate the Indian market to bounce again to double-digit progress in 2021 on account of the low base of 2020. But it’s going to take two to 4 years for the market to regain the earlier peak, they are saying.

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